What historically discounts - and what rarely does
Everything in this section is drawn from published recaps of the 2025 sales and from Nintendo's own 2025 announcement. The sources are listed at the bottom of the page. Prices quoted here are last year's sale prices, not today's and not a forecast.
Reliably discounted: controllers
The two mainstream pads both dropped substantially in 2025. Engadget's recap listed the Xbox Wireless Controller at $40 against a $64.99 list price and the Sony DualSense at $55 against $75. Those are the controllers our second controller guiderecommends for PC/Xbox and PS5, and both appear in the gear table above at today's price. If you need a second pad and the occasion can wait for late November, this is the clearest “wait” on the page.
Reliably discounted: headsets
The HyperX Cloud III, our long-session headset pick, was reported by PCGamesN at $39 at Walmart on Black Friday 2025 against a $99.99 list price - and the same piece notes it “typically” discounts to $69.99 outside the event, so even the ordinary sale price is well under list. Headsets in general were heavily featured in 2025 deal roundups. If they play online and need to be heard, wait for November if you can.
Reliably discounted: games more than a year old
This is the largest category and the most consistent. Engadget's 2025 recap listed Helldivers 2 at $30 (from $40), Split Fiction at $30 (from $50), and a long run of older PlayStation titles at $20 to $30. Nintendo's own 2025 sale cut a set of older Switch first-party games - Nintendo Switch Sports, Super Mario Odyssey, Splatoon 3, Paper Mario: The Thousand-Year Door, Luigi's Mansion 3 and others - to $29.99 or $39.99. The pattern: games that have been out a year or more, from publishers who run regular sales, are the safest thing to wait for.
Sometimes discounted: newer third-party games
Big third-party releases from the same year are less predictable but not immune. In 2025 Engadget listed Sonic Racing: CrossWorlds - released that September - at $40 against $80, and Battlefield 6, released in October, at $35 against $70. So a current-year game from a large third-party publisher canhalve in its first Black Friday. It is not a rule, and first-party or smaller-studio titles did not follow it. Treat this as “check before you buy at full price in November”, not “wait”.
Reliably discounted: monitors
Monitors are one of the deepest-cut categories every year, and 2025 was no exception: PC Gamer's roundup listed a 24-inch 1080p 144Hz ASUS TUF panel at $79.99 (42% off) and HotHardware's covered discounts of 19% to 47% on higher-end gaming displays. One honest caveat from HotHardware is worth carrying: Black Friday “also doubles as a way for sellers to get rid of low-demand items”, so a big percentage on an unfamiliar model is not automatically a good buy. The panels on our second monitor guide are the ones we would check.
Rarely discounted: Nintendo's newest games and hardware
This is the most useful thing on the page for a gifter. Nintendo's 2025 holiday offers included no discount on the Switch 2 console or its controllers, and the discounted game list was older Switch titles rather than Switch 2 releases. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe, Super Mario Party Jamboree and Super Smash Bros. Ultimate - three of the most-gifted games on this site - did not appear in Nintendo's list at all. The Switch 2 itself was only “discounted” via a bundle with Mario Kart World. If the gift is a current Nintendo game or a Switch 2 Pro Controller, waiting for November did not pay off in 2025. Buy when the occasion is.
Rarely discounted: Xbox consoles
For completeness: Engadget noted that neither the Xbox Series X nor Series S was on sale in 2025 and called Xbox's offerings “fairly weak” overall, while the PlayStation 5 family was discounted by about $100 across all three models. We do not sell consoles, but it affects what to expect from the ecosystem around them.
Buy now or wait for November, by product type
Second controller (Xbox, DualSense) - wait if you can. Both discounted clearly in 2025. If you need it for a birthday before November, buy it; a controller is cheap enough that the difference is not worth missing the occasion.
Headset - wait if you can. Same reasoning, and the HyperX Cloud III in particular has a history of deep event pricing.
A game that has been out a year or more - wait. This is the category with the most consistent history. It Takes Two, Helldivers 2, Overcooked, Stardew Valley and the older Switch games are all in this bracket.
A big third-party game released this year - check, do not assume. Some halved in 2025; others did not move. If you are buying in November anyway, check the live price here first.
A current Nintendo first-party game or Nintendo controller - buy now. Nintendo did not discount its newest games or its hardware in 2025; its sale list was older titles. Waiting mostly costs you the occasion.
A monitor - wait, but buy a model you have researched. Deep cuts are common; so are deep cuts on panels nobody wanted. Decide the model first, then wait for its price.
Cables and monitor arms - buy when you need them. These are cheap, their discounts are small in absolute terms, and the thing they fix is usually a problem you have today.
How to tell a real deal from a fake one
Every buy button on this site shows the current Amazon price, and when the listing carries a discount it also shows the struck list price and the percentage off, all pulled live and dated. That is the honest way to read a sale: compare the sale price to what the item has actually been selling for, not to a “list price” that was never charged. A game that has been at $30 since spring is not a deal at $30 in November. The picks above are here so you can see today's price now and recognize a real drop when the event starts.
Two more checks. Confirm the edition - a Black Friday listing for the wrong console is the most common way a game gift goes wrong, and our gift guides flag the platform on every pick. And confirm the seller - a deep discount from a third-party marketplace seller with no history is not the same as a retailer deal.
Deals will be posted here when they go live
When the 2026 sales start, this page gets a live section at the top: each deal with the product, the verified sale price, the verified list price, and the date we checked it. We only post deals we have seen live ourselves, we never post a percentage we have not verified, and we remove deals when they end. The buttons above will reflect discounts automatically through the same live price layer that runs the rest of the site. Until then, the gift guides are the best way to decide what to buy, and this page is the best way to decide when.
How we make money on this page
The buy links here are affiliate links, mainly Amazon Associates; if you buy through them we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. It does not change which products we list, which deals we post, or the buy-now-or-wait advice above - which, you will notice, tells you to wait on the things that pay us most. See our affiliate disclosure.
Sources
Every historical price and every “was not discounted” claim on this page comes from one of the following, all read in September 2026: